Outlaw Yogi wrote:When Mark Latham lost to John Howard in 2004, the ALP made Kim Beazley opposition boss. I said in 2005 Beazley can't win and "Kevin Rudd will be the next Australian PM". Then 'Kevin 07' proved me right.
Wayne wrote: Apart from the "stating the bleeding obvious statements in the first part of your posting, ...
If it "was" so obvious, how come I was the only one to make such a prediction 2 years beforehand?
I doubt you would have made such a prognostication at all, let alone 2 year prior.
My bet is back in 2005 you were stating what an arsehole Jack-boot Johnny Howard is and how Bomber Beazley's gunna blow him out of the children overboard water.
wayne wrote: this bit is very interesting.
I think the Nationals will bust up the coalition and form a coalition with Cory Bernardi & Co, and the Nats reclaim some support lost to ON. I expect Katter's crew will join a pseudo-coalition with Pauline Hanson & Co. The Libs will become not much more than a minor party. Labor will continue to bleed voters to the Greens, and Labor will not be elected til they dump Shorten.
Thanks, but lets see how things/events pan out first. My predictions are based on the history of human fickleness and reading the public mood, which ATM is pretty sour.
wayne wrote:Any Liberal who defects to Bernardi will be sent to Coventry - and looking at the current ,mob, there doesn't seem to be any who will do that anyway but as you write, the Nationals are a different matter. With an absolute moron in Barnaby Joyce as Leader, I imagine life under a Bernardi Leadership could easily tempt Nationals to switch over. Katter and Hanson are both a bit unstable, but maybe there is life in alikes? As for Labor, it is not only Shorten that is the problem. Most of their front bench are just tired, old or worn-out pollies who need to move on. Years of Rudd have probably disenchanted a lot of them - they should have kept Gillard, lost the election and started to rebuild. I can't see anyone on Labor's front bench who could replace Shorten thought, it is only the activities of the Coalition that are keeping them ahead in the polls
Gillard became as unelectable if not more so than Shorten is. Thus the resurrection of Rudd.
If it wasn't so, they (ALP) would have stuck with her, because her incompetence made her a malleable/controllable factional figurehead.
If Donald Trump is so close to the Ruskis, why couldn't he get Vladimir Putin to put novichok in Xi Jjinping's lipstick?