Poll Tracking

[Jovial Monk]

Essential Research 60:40, up from 59:41
http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/ ... 270109.pdf

Questions about nuclear power etc. these extra questions are usually interesting.

ER is biased (in sampling algorythm) to Labor.

Look at the summary of Newspoll results in an earlier post here. Support for Labor rock solid, 8-10% lead over Lieberals. Will this reflect the result of the next election?

I will stick my neck out and predict: yes, an election win by 5% or so for Labor. Even if we/the world go into a deep depression people know it is not Rudd's fault and they see him and his ministers working their guts out. Look on the Lieberal benches, pretty much devoid of talent! They only looked good with the artificial glue of government.

[White Indigene]

They only looked good with the artificial glue of government.

NO

Technically they were very good.

But its not for the Tech classes to say, is it JM!?

[Jovial Monk]

They were C R A P !

Howard, little in spirit, divisive, wedging

Costello, spineless, worst Treasurer (were worse Treasurers but not in the position long enough to matter) after Howard

Hocky, usually not prepared very well, e.g. Gillard (who HAD read the WorstChoices Bill) wiped the floor with him in Parliament and in at least two media interviews (7.30 Report & Lateline IIRC) where Hockey was reduced to sweaty, uncomfortable silence or incoherence.

Reith, ABC re-running Bastard Boys, showing what a conniving little twerp he was

etc

[White Indigene]

Dont talk to me about Bastard Boys unless you have been there!

You mention Hockey; I dont know when you mean. It relative to explain, because in QTime, there is little he can do today, because he has only official time to ask, while the encumbant has the floor for 4.

You forget we had to pay Labors last debt. We are now again in defecit. This will mean the country will have been effectively broke for thirty years, by the time the current cycle ends (twenty more years time). Actually, if we look hard, it will never end.

But consider that we had just got clear before the 'genius' of the ALP took hold, and got power. So, for ten years the nation was flogged like a dead horse to pay the massive debt; now it will all happen again. So, by 2018, we will reach the end of the present cycle, if nothing changes it properly. Labor will need ten years to rack up the equivalent debt now, followed by ten years of Liberal reparations = 2018 (approx).

[Jovial Monk]

Nah, tip just sold the family silver, paid the debt, did not invest in infrastructure or training etc.

We go into deficit in recessions, and we are in a doozy of a recession.

[Jovial Monk]

The new Essential Research results are even worse for Turnbull.
Approval down 9%
Disapproval up 13%

In PPM 15% of COAL voters prefer Rudd to Turnbull.

[Jovial Monk]

Morgan Poll

After a week of arguing in Parliament about a new stimulus bill ALP support is 51.5% (up 5%) compared to L-NP support 35.5% (down 2.5%). On a two-party preferred basis, support for the ALP is 60% (up 4%), while support for the L-NP is 40% (down 4%). . . .The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen slightly to 126 (up 6pts) with Australians more confident that Australia is “heading in the right direction” 54.5% (up 5%), compared to 28.5% (down 1%) that say Australia is “heading in the wrong direction.” This rebound is a strong sign for the Government.

Labor on 51.5% PRIMARY vote!

[Jovial Monk]

There was a Westpoll last week, Labor preferred by about 55% of voters--that has to be a worry for the Lieberals since WA is their last bastion of solid Lieberal support!

Westpoll had a miniscule 400 sample size, execrable statistically but that was still a HUGE swing from the trend of previous pollls!

[Jovial Monk]

Morgan phone poll last week steady. So is yesterday's Newspoll: 47:36 primary, 58:42 TPP

The Roosterman's approval rating stay very low, how long b4 there are stirrings of dissatisfaction and a challenge? And not from the lazy, spineless Tip! Hockey? Deputy Shadow Treasurer has lifted his rating heaps! He will have to move quick! Yesterdays QT was all Hockey and he presented NO trouble to Mr Swan! Not a good omen from a man who never prepares as thoroughly as he should! Remember Gillard reducing him to incoherent mumbles on Lateline!

[Jovial Monk]

Newspoll & Essential Research just small movements within MoE. Er asked some interesting questions:



The questions about promises down show the toxic Howard heritage poisoning the present day Fiberal Party.

http://www.jovialmonk.com.au/KevinRuddW ... p=929#p929

or

http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollytics/20 ... s-edition/