Civil unrest globally.

[Nom De Plume]

The risk of civil unrest has spiked across the globe as developed nations and emerging markets alike grapple with spiraling inflation and upheaval exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, according to a report.

Of 198 countries tracked in the Civil Unrest Index, 101 showed mounting risk in the third quarter of 2022, according to research collected by intelligence firm Verisk Maplecroft. That’s the biggest increase since the ranking was developed in 2016, it showed.

The potential for unrest is rising across Europe, which is bracing for a long winter of energy disruption because of the war in Ukraine — as well as the developing world, where price spikes on basic staples have triggered concern of a global food crisis. The threat is set to grow over the coming months, researchers say.

Particularly in developed nations, civil unrest could take the form of demonstrations and labor strikes with the potential to tear at nations’ social fabric.

“These are significant events in terms of disrupting every day life,” Jimena Blanco, chief analyst for Verisk Maplecroft, said in an interview. In emerging markets, worst-case scenarios may involve “rioting, looting, even attempts to overthrow the government,” she said.

Global inflation is likely to linger for months, with no prospect of returning to levels before the twin shocks of the Covid-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine — even if consumer-price inflation is set to ease somewhat in the second half.

As for civil unrest, while Verisk researchers predicted an increase in risk in 2020, the jump shown by research has been “far worse” than initially forecast, the report said. Inflation levels mean that almost half of countries on the index are categorized as “high” or “extreme” risk levels.

The mounting potential for unrest is likely only to be addressed with a “significant reduction” in food and energy prices, the report showed. But weather is also a factor, particularly in Europe, where a cold heating season would exacerbate the continent’s energy crunch.

Wealthy nations such as Germany, where the prospect of energy shortages has played out in higher gas and electricity bills and the specter of rolling blackouts, show an uptick. Even Switzerland, where inflation is at a three-decade high and officials warn of high prices lingering, registered an increase, the research showed.

Hot spots among developing nations include Sri Lanka, where widespread protests over fuel shortages and mismanagement toppled its government this year, as the country negotiates a bailout. Algeria, where gas revenue has staved off spending cuts, showed the biggest potential for risk in the next six months, researchers said.

Many nations that were able to prop up their economies through the pandemic are now struggling to maintain social spending. Those include Egypt, Bolivia, the Philippines, Serbia, Zimbabwe and Bosnia-Herzegovina.

The index is derived from a range of surveys assessing factors like inflation, mechanisms to overcome conflict and the impact of unrest.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles ... arch-shows

Given that Bobby did a stella at keeping us informed of Covid, perhaps he could track civil unrest globally... see if it pans out as predicted.

[Nom De Plume]

Or, perhaps not! Whilst Booby is busy posting petty memes like a 'Keven' about woke shit that no one cares about, the UK is preparing for civil unrest!

Police forces are braced for a rise in crime, a breakdown in public order and even corruption in their ranks this winter as they draw up emergency proposals to deal with the cost of living crisis.

Contingency planning among police chiefs is under way to deal with the fallout that could result from millions of households falling into financial difficulties.

A leaked national strategy paper, drawn up by them this summer, has revealed they are increasingly concerned that “economic turmoil and financial instability” has “potential to drive increases in particular crime types”.

These include “acquisitive” offences, such as shoplifting, burglary and vehicle theft, as well as online fraud and blackmail, and crimes that “rely on exploiting financial vulnerability”.

At a regional level, some police forces are preparing for more children to be sucked into county lines drug gangs and women falling victim to sexual exploitation. Priti Patel, the home secretary, is understood to share their concern.

The document says: “Greater financial vulnerability may expose some staff to higher risk of corruption, especially among those who fall into significant debt or financial difficulties.” It offers a glimpse of the stark choices facing the new prime minister, expected to be Liz Truss, when they take office on Tuesday. It can also be revealed:

https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/07b8 ... 1190c02978

[Nom De Plume]

An estimated 70,000 people protested in Prague against the Czech government on Saturday, calling on the ruling coalition to do more to control soaring energy prices and voicing opposition to the European Union and NATO.

Organizers of the demonstration from a number of far-right and fringe political groups including the Communist party, said the central European nation should be neutral militarily and ensure direct contracts with gas suppliers, including Russia.\

Police estimates put the number of protesters at around 70,000 by mid-afternoon.

“The aim of our demonstration is to demand change, mainly in solving the issue of energy prices, especially electricity and gas, which will destroy our economy this autumn,” event co-organizer Jiri Havel told iDNES.cz news website.

The protest at Wenceslas Square in the city center was held a day after the government survived a no-confidence vote amid opposition claims of inaction against inflation and energy prices.

The vote showed how Europe’s energy crisis is fueling political instability as soaring power prices stoke inflation, already at levels unseen in three decades.

Prime Minister Petr Fiala, who leads the center-right, five-party coalition, told CTK news service on Saturday that the protesters did not have the country’s best interests at heart.

https://nypost.com/2022/09/03/70000-pro ... t-eu-nato/

I would argue that the centre-right coalition does not have the best interests of the people!

[Nom De Plume]

JAKARTA - Thousands of people rallied in Indonesia's biggest cities on Tuesday (Sept 6), demanding the government reverse its first subsidised fuel price increase in eight years amid soaring inflation.

Under pressure to control a ballooning energy subsidy budget, President Joko Widodo on Saturday said he had little choice but to cut the subsidy and let fuel prices rise by about 30per cent in the country of 270 million people. Oil prices are about 32per cent higher than a year ago.

Protests took place in and around the capital, Jakarta, and in the cities of Surabaya, Makassar, Kendari, Aceh, and Yogyakarta, among a series of demonstrations led by students and labour groups that police say could draw big crowds this week.

Thousands of police were deployed across Jakarta, many guarding petrol stations, fearing they could become targets of mounting anger over a price increase that unions say will hurt workers and the urban poor the most.

"Workers are really, really suffering right now," said Abdul Aris, a union official, vowing to keep fighting until the government gives way.

Small rallies took place at the weekend and on Monday, with tyres burned and some roads blocked as demonstrators vented their anger over the decision, which comes amid rising food costs and with the economy still reeling from the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

Thousands gathered in Jakarta on Tuesday, marching and chanting slogans denouncing the government's decision and calling for an increase in the minimum wage.

One demonstrator was seen shirtless with feet shackled to an empty petrol tank, carrying a sign highlighting the hardship brought by rising costs.

Textile factory worker Adi Asmadi, 29, said his daily transport expenses would go up sharply.

"If the fuel price is hiked and wages increase too, that's OK," he said. "If it's not, we object."

Subsidised fuel is a sensitive issue in Southeast Asia's biggest economy, but the government has sought to soften the blow through compensation measures for 20 million households, including direct cash transfers. The price increase is expected to push up inflation.

Authorities said 24.17 trillion rupiah (S$2.28 billion) in additional welfare programmes would go to those needing them, while hotlines would be set up to hear complaints.

"These are very difficult conditions, but if you look at the assistance provided by the government, it is quite large," Minister of Social Affairs Tri Rismaharini told a news conference.

"We hope this could help cushion the rise in prices that the people are facing."

Ahmad Choirul Furqon, an official at the Traditional Market Traders Association, said the fuel price increase would have a domino effect in pushing up other costs and urged the government to rethink its support measures.

"We hope the government does not use populist policies as a solution," he said.
https://www.asiaone.com/asia/protests-a ... e-increase

A Govt. cash splash will do nothing beyond furthering inflation.

[Nom De Plume]

Public protests on the streets against the government in Germany
There is public outcry about rising inflation in Germany. People are protesting on the streets against inflation. Gas prices are skyrocketing here due to which the business related to it is also facing recession.

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Updated:
Sep 06, 2022, 05:44 PM IST
There is public outcry about rising inflation in Germany. People are protesting on the streets against inflation. Gas prices are skyrocketing here due to which the business related to it is also facing recession.
https://zeenews.india.com/video/world/p ... 06486.html

What they failed to mention is that the protesters want the sanctions on Russia ended and for Germany to be neutral in the Russia/ Ukraine conflict.
I think that German leaders start meeting the needs of their social contract with its citizens, rather than interfering with the politics and conflicts of foreign nations.

[freediver]

test

[Aussie]

so.....everyone stays out of the Ukraine Russia thing and just watches the slaughter and invasion? Sing Kumbaya as well?

[Nom De Plume]

so.....everyone stays out of the Ukraine Russia thing and just watches the slaughter and invasion? Sing Kumbaya as well?

Minsk II, which was signed on 12 February 2015.[6] This agreement consisted of a package of measures, including a ceasefire, withdrawal of heavy weapons from the front line, release of prisoners of war, constitutional reform in Ukraine granting self-government to certain areas of Donbas and restoring control of the state border to the Ukrainian government. While fighting subsided following the agreement's signing, it never ended completely, and the agreement's provisions were never fully implemented.[7] The Normandy Format parties agreed that the Minsk II remains the basis for any future resolution to the conflict.

Seems to me that Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) want independence, irrespective of what Ukraine wants, and Russia supports their goals. You don't support their right for independence?

[Aussie]

so.....everyone stays out of the Ukraine Russia thing and just watches the slaughter and invasion? Sing Kumbaya as well?

Minsk II, which was signed on 12 February 2015.[6] This agreement consisted of a package of measures, including a ceasefire, withdrawal of heavy weapons from the front line, release of prisoners of war, constitutional reform in Ukraine granting self-government to certain areas of Donbas and restoring control of the state border to the Ukrainian government. While fighting subsided following the agreement's signing, it never ended completely, and the agreement's provisions were never fully implemented.[7] The Normandy Format parties agreed that the Minsk II remains the basis for any future resolution to the conflict.

Seems to me that Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) want independence, irrespective of what Ukraine wants, and Russia supports their goals. You don't support their right for independence?

Sure...but independence from what...Russia or Ukraine? Where is the Ukraine Russia border under Minsk II?

[Nom De Plume]

so.....everyone stays out of the Ukraine Russia thing and just watches the slaughter and invasion? Sing Kumbaya as well?

Minsk II, which was signed on 12 February 2015.[6] This agreement consisted of a package of measures, including a ceasefire, withdrawal of heavy weapons from the front line, release of prisoners of war, constitutional reform in Ukraine granting self-government to certain areas of Donbas and restoring control of the state border to the Ukrainian government. While fighting subsided following the agreement's signing, it never ended completely, and the agreement's provisions were never fully implemented.[7] The Normandy Format parties agreed that the Minsk II remains the basis for any future resolution to the conflict.

Seems to me that Donetsk People's Republic (DPR) and Luhansk People's Republic (LPR) want independence, irrespective of what Ukraine wants, and Russia supports their goals. You don't support their right for independence?

Sure...but independence from what...Russia or Ukraine? Where is the Ukraine Russia border under Minsk II?

Seriously! From Ukraine, you numbskull!
If you want to talk about this topic... do some research, decide your position then start a thread.