Ashby

[Jovial Monk]

She's your PM, not ours.

Like 55% of Australians we don't want anything to do with the lying skanky corrupt filthy fucking whore

She is everyone’s PM, there being after all only one PM at a time. 63% of Australians disapprove of Abbott. Again the hysteria, you KNOW Abbott cannot win the election, don’t you? That reality is soaking into your slimy, cowardly guts.

Shoot all lefties—you really are feeling totally impotent! Labor will win the next election and they deserve to! Labor is doing the policy hard yards, Abbott is just lying, performing increasingly irrelevant little stunts and now has been shown to be complicit in a conspiracy against the Speaker of the House.

You might think all the crap you spout about Slater & Gordon and the events of 20 years ago means anything but yesterdays Nielsen showed 62% disapprove of what Abbott tried to do while more approve than disapprove of the way Gillard handled it.

As the election draws near all this means that Labor will win and win a majority in its own right.

[IQS.RLOW]

ALP have been stuck on 45% for years now.
They ain't coming back

[Jovial Monk]

So you fervently believe! So you hope but the hysteria in your posts shows you know 63% disapproval will see your side of politics thrashed next year.

Last year Labor were on 26% PV and PPV of 59:41, they are now 10% higher, PPV not quite 10% higher as the Green vote has declined. As the fear Abbott fomented about the “carbon tax” dissipated people came to realise Abbott LIED to them, hence 63% and climbing disapproval. The Slater and Gordon nonsense of the last two weeks of Parliament has also acted to boost the disapproval. Now there will be an enquiry into Ashbygate, that will do wonders for Abbott’s disapproval and Lib support. Meantime—no policy from the Libs.

I am quite happy for Labor to sit on 48:50 for a few more months, Libs will be loath to change the Leader that has them in front. But when the election draws near who is going to vote to make the despised Abbott PM? Not enough people and you realise that.

[IQS.RLOW]

They are sitting on 55:45 and you are desperately clinging to disapproval figures which as I pointed out in another post, Peacock delivered a 1.4% swing against Hawke with 72%

No matter which way you try and spin it, it all = FAIL for the ALP

[Jovial Monk]

48:50 and Ashbygate still to have an impact.

[IQS.RLOW]

48:50

Monk proving that math, statistics and reality are not his strong points

[Jovial Monk]

Got me! 48:52 it is, but probably, Nielsen bias and all, closer to 50:50

[IQS.RLOW]

Closer to 55:45 weighted average across all polls
..but you keep fantasizing dogboy

[Jovial Monk]

Insults now, eh? Becoming ever more desperate.

Last poll 48:52 and that is with a 1–2% bias against Labor. Next Newspoll will probably be 50:50 as they have been twice before. Morgan, who you quoted so approvingly a few months before, have Labor on 51%.

But Abbott’s 63% disapproval which is remarkably uniform across the polls is the important statistic I’m afraid. That disapproval will go higher not lower and spells finis to Liberal hopes at the next election.

[IQS.RLOW]

Disapproval is not important.
As I said, even Peacock delivered a 1.4% swing against Hawke

Just think how many seats the ALP would lose now with a 1.4% swing...then double it