Our covid strategies are working

[Juliar]

Will nothing be spared from the COVID-19 crisis ?



Two cats in New York are first pets known to have coronavirus in the US
By Arman Azad, CNN Updated 0522 GMT (1322 HKT) April 23, 2020


A veterinarian tests an Egyptian cat for the coronavirus, a requirement for travel, at a clinic in Cairo, Egypt on March 29.

(CNN)Two cats in New York have been infected with the novel coronavirus, federal officials announced Wednesday. Both had mild respiratory symptoms and are expected to make a full recovery.

"These are the first pets in the United States to test positive," the US Department of Agriculture said Wednesday in a joint statement with the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The agencies emphasized that there is no evidence pets play a role in spreading coronavirus in the United States. "There is no justification in taking measures against companion animals that may compromise their welfare," they said.

The two cats were tested after they showed respiratory symptoms, according to the agencies, and they join the ranks of eight lions and tigers who were infected at a New York zoo.

A veterinarian tested the first house cat after it showed mild respiratory signs, but none of the humans in its household were confirmed to have the virus.

It's possible, officials said, that the cat was infected by somebody outside the home. Someone inside the house, with mild or no symptoms, could have also transmitted the virus.

The second cat, in a separate area of New York, was also tested after it showed signs of respiratory illness. The owner of that cat tested positive for Covid-19 before the cat became ill, but another cat in the household has shown no signs of illness.

Read on here

https://edition.cnn.com/2020/04/22/heal ... index.html

[Juliar]

WIll it come to pass that anyone wanting to come to Australia will have to have a negative COVID-19 test ?

This will make a mess of the Union and Greeny controlled Labor Party's main policy of RESTARTING the BOATS.

Makes the UN One World Socialist "Govt" in a Sustainable World policy of open borders everywhere as specified in the UN AGENDA 2030 look a bit idiotic.





Australia making 'good progress' in fight against coronavirus. Catch up on the key points from Scott Morrison's latest update
Updated about 11 hours ago

Coronavirus growth figures are so low they would have been unimaginable just weeks ago.

This means Australian leaders are beginning to talk about the country working towards a so-called "COVID-safe economy".

But, as cases appear to be under control, they warn we can't get complacent because thousands of people are dying of the disease in counties with advanced healthcare systems like the UK, France and Germany.

Prime Minister Scott Morrison and Treasurer Josh Frydenberg gave some updates on the economic response to the coronavirus outbreak. Catch up on their key points.


Getting to a 'safe' economy
With just four cases recorded across the country on Thursday, Mr Morrison said Australia was "on the way back to a COVID-safe economy".

An update is expected from the Chief Medical Officer on Friday about the rate of transmission figures.

In the meantime, Mr Morrison said additional contact tracing measures and reliable supplies of testing kits and medical equipment will be protections against any future outbreaks.

"We are on the way back to a COVID-safe economy as well, which is what we have to achieve," Mr Morrison said.

Read on here

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-04-23/ ... r/12177268

[sprintcyclist]

90, 100, 86, 89, 51, 21, 33, 46, 44, 41, 47, 42 , 39, 36 , 42, 53, 43, 26, 13 , 22. 4, 7, 12, 13, 14


We have it well under control.
Give us some freedom



As at 3:00pm on 24 April 2020, there have been 6,675 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 14 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,675 confirmed cases in Australia, 78 have died and 5,136 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 482,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 6:00am on 24 April 2020, there have been 6,667 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 13 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,667 confirmed cases in Australia, 76 have died and 5,095 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 474,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 23 April 2020, there have been 6,661 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 12 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,661 confirmed cases in Australia, 75 have died and 5,045 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 466,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



All credit to the 95+% of Australians who are behaving responsibly


As at 6:00am on 23 April 2020, there have been 6,654 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 7 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,654 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 5,012 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 458,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 3:00pm on 22 April 2020, there have been 6,649 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 4 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,649 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 4,761 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 452,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 22 April 2020, there have been 6,647 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 22 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,647 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 4,291 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 444,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 21 April 2020, there have been 6,625 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 13 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,625 confirmed cases in Australia, 71 have died and 4,258 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 434,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 20 April 2020, there have been 6,619 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 26 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,619 confirmed cases in Australia, 71 have died and 4,258 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 431,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 3:00pm on 19 April 2020, there have been 6,606 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 41 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,606 confirmed cases in Australia, 70 have died and 4,230 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 420,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 19 April 2020, there have been 6,586 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 53 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,586 confirmed cases in Australia, 69 have died and 4,163 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 411,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 18 April 2020, there have been 6,565 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 42 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,565 confirmed cases in Australia, 68 have died and 4,163 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 406,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 6:00am on 18 April 2020, there have been 6,533 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 36 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,533 confirmed cases in Australia, 67 have died and 3,819 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 396,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 6:00am on 17 April 2020, there have been 6,497 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 39 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,497 confirmed cases in Australia, 63 have died from COVID-19. More than 384,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.

[sprintcyclist]

90, 100, 86, 89, 51, 21, 33, 46, 44, 41, 47, 42 , 39, 36 , 42, 53, 43, 26, 13 , 22. 4, 7, 12, 13, 14, 20


There are 1414 current cases.
This is the benefit of few new cases, your current cases decrease dramatically.


As at 6:00am on 25 April 2020, there have been 6,687 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 20 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,687 confirmed cases in Australia, 79 have died and 5,273 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 487,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



We have it well under control.
Give us some freedom



As at 3:00pm on 24 April 2020, there have been 6,675 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 14 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,675 confirmed cases in Australia, 78 have died and 5,136 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 482,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 6:00am on 24 April 2020, there have been 6,667 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 13 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,667 confirmed cases in Australia, 76 have died and 5,095 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 474,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 23 April 2020, there have been 6,661 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 12 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,661 confirmed cases in Australia, 75 have died and 5,045 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 466,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



All credit to the 95+% of Australians who are behaving responsibly


As at 6:00am on 23 April 2020, there have been 6,654 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 7 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,654 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 5,012 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 458,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 3:00pm on 22 April 2020, there have been 6,649 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 4 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,649 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 4,761 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 452,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 22 April 2020, there have been 6,647 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 22 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,647 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 4,291 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 444,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 21 April 2020, there have been 6,625 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 13 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,625 confirmed cases in Australia, 71 have died and 4,258 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 434,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 20 April 2020, there have been 6,619 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 26 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,619 confirmed cases in Australia, 71 have died and 4,258 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 431,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 3:00pm on 19 April 2020, there have been 6,606 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 41 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,606 confirmed cases in Australia, 70 have died and 4,230 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 420,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 19 April 2020, there have been 6,586 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 53 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,586 confirmed cases in Australia, 69 have died and 4,163 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 411,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 18 April 2020, there have been 6,565 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 42 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,565 confirmed cases in Australia, 68 have died and 4,163 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 406,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 6:00am on 18 April 2020, there have been 6,533 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 36 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,533 confirmed cases in Australia, 67 have died and 3,819 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 396,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.

[Juliar]

Endless repetition...

Can you get re-infected with COVID-19 after becoming immune ?


Joey Ortiz, Graduate Researcher at University of Arizona (2016-present)
Updated Fri

I'm tired of social distancing. What if I infected myself with COVID-19, went into isolation, and came out when I was immune and not contagious?
Let’s suppose you are young, no pre-existing health conditions, fit, healthy, and you want to do this. One central question is, can you be reinfected?

There is a widely-circulating unproven statement that reinfection is “possible”, “happened”, or even “likely”. These social media theories are due to about 100 cases of apparent reinfection in China. These occurrences are better explained by flawed testing (false positives and false negatives), according to experts. The evidence for reinfection is very weak.

We don’t know how long you are immune to reinfection after COVID-19. Certainly you end the disease with full immunity - that is how you got better in the first place. The question is

how long will antibodies against SARS-COV-2 (the virus) be produced by your immune system in sufficient quantities to stop reinfection?
how long does it take for SARS-COV-2 to evolve to evade your antibodies?

Experts believe you retain immunity likely for months, possibly for years after infection. This expectation is strong, based on our knowledge of similar viruses such as SARS and MERS, the immune system, and a recent study attempting to reinfect two rhesus monkeys (the monkeys were fully immune a month after infection).

And with similar viruses, reinfection can occur if antibody levels are too low, for instance if the first infection was mild or too much time has passed. Fortunately, the second infection has dramatically reduced duration, severity, and viral shedding. Why? Your immune system remembers the virus, literally! Memory B cells re-encountering the virus quickly become antibody-producing plasma cells, antibody factories that produce more antibodies than the initial infection for a longer amount of time.

Since the people pushing their “you can get reinfected” fears did not supply citations, I will not either.

Just kidding.

Coronavirus infections: Epidemiological, clinical and immunological features and hypotheses
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articl ... Sr1VElZS7k
Section on "pathogenisis, disease severity and epidemic spread": Discusses possibility of cross immunity between strains of CoV, including sars, sars2, mers, and common-cold varieties.

Reinfection could not occur in SARS-CoV-2 infected rhesus macaques
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101 ... bQEXP7myO8
discussion at Monkeys Develop Protective Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2
SARS-CoV-2 Infected Rhesus Macaques: Reinfection was not possible short-term (1 month challenge, N=2 monkeys), close relative of humans

NPR discussion of immunity
https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandso ... oronavirus
Do You Get Immunity After Recovering From A Case Of Coronavirus?

Antibody Response and Disease Severity in Healthcare Worker MERS Survivors.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27192543
The more severe the infection, the stronger and longer lasting immunity is, judging from MERS (close cousin of sars-cov-2)

The Time Course of the Immune Response to Experimental Coronavirus Infection of Man - PubMed
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2170159/
Common-Cold type coronavirus, antibodies drop over time and eventually can become low enough to enable reinfection, however reinfection is less severe than original, less contagious, sometimes even asymptomatic.

That being said, COVID has nonzero risk for anyone (see Table 1). For those who believe they are low-risk and high likelihood of eventual exposure, it’s far more useful to society to be intentionally exposed during a human challenge trial, which may speed up vaccine development.

[Juliar]

When will the COVID-19 virus end?

Epidemics end in one of three ways:

1- Everyone who can get infected gets infected (see Black Death in Medieval Europe, Smallpox in Age of Exploration Americas, Spanish Flu in 1918–1920)

2- Government action finds everyone who is sick, quarantines them, and prevents further spreading (see Wuhan China, 2020, SARS in China In 2002, Ebola in West Africa, 2018)

3- Transmission slows in warm/dry weather (see influenza, every year)

We don’t know yet if Covid-19 will slow down when the Northern Hemisphere turns to Spring. Right now China is succeeding at #2, South Korea is trying, and rumor has it Italy will quarantine the North soon, but the rest of Europe and United States are experiencing uncontrolled outbreaks. Worst case is like Spanish flu, Covid-19 continues to spread throughout 2020, perhaps with a lull in the Summer, then continues on into 2021 until everyone has been exposed.

So far for most people who have caught the virus, it’s just another cold. Unfortunately for 2%-3.4%, it’s deadly.

UPDATE: March 13, 2020… #4 from a thread in the comments:

4- Vaccine and/or treatment. It is possible a vaccine or treatment is found before everyone is infected. This doesn’t look likely given how long medical trials typically take, but these are not typical times.

In this past week of research while worrying about family (who are luckily not sick enough to be in a hospital but unluckily enough living in the U.S. where tests are not available unless you are in critical condition in a hospital), I’ve been sharing my analysis on https://lunarmobiscuit.com/categ....

The news from the CDC is that the U.S. is headed down path #1, with projections of between 160 million and 250 million people infected, with an estimated 1% mortality rate.


Read on here https://www.quora.com/When-will-the-COVID-19-virus-end



Hope springs eternal...

[sprintcyclist]

90, 100, 86, 89, 51, 21, 33, 46, 44, 41, 47, 42 , 39, 36 , 42, 53, 43, 26, 13 , 22. 4, 7, 12, 13, 14, 20, 16



As at 3:00pm on 26 April 2020, there have been 6,711 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 16 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,711 confirmed cases in Australia, 83 have died and 5,539 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 506,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


There are 1414 current cases.
This is the benefit of few new cases, your current cases decrease dramatically.


As at 6:00am on 25 April 2020, there have been 6,687 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 20 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,687 confirmed cases in Australia, 79 have died and 5,273 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 487,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



We have it well under control.
Give us some freedom



As at 3:00pm on 24 April 2020, there have been 6,675 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 14 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,675 confirmed cases in Australia, 78 have died and 5,136 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 482,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 6:00am on 24 April 2020, there have been 6,667 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 13 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,667 confirmed cases in Australia, 76 have died and 5,095 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 474,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 23 April 2020, there have been 6,661 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 12 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,661 confirmed cases in Australia, 75 have died and 5,045 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 466,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



All credit to the 95+% of Australians who are behaving responsibly


As at 6:00am on 23 April 2020, there have been 6,654 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 7 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,654 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 5,012 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 458,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 3:00pm on 22 April 2020, there have been 6,649 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 4 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,649 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 4,761 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 452,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 22 April 2020, there have been 6,647 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 22 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,647 confirmed cases in Australia, 74 have died and 4,291 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 444,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 21 April 2020, there have been 6,625 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 13 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,625 confirmed cases in Australia, 71 have died and 4,258 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 434,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 20 April 2020, there have been 6,619 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 26 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,619 confirmed cases in Australia, 71 have died and 4,258 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 431,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.



As at 3:00pm on 19 April 2020, there have been 6,606 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 41 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,606 confirmed cases in Australia, 70 have died and 4,230 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 420,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 6:00am on 19 April 2020, there have been 6,586 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 53 new cases since 6:00am yesterday.

Of the 6,586 confirmed cases in Australia, 69 have died and 4,163 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 411,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.


As at 3:00pm on 18 April 2020, there have been 6,565 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Australia. There have been 42 new cases since 3:00pm yesterday.

Of the 6,565 confirmed cases in Australia, 68 have died and 4,163 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19. More than 406,000 tests have been conducted across Australia.

[Juliar]

Endless repetition...



China just doesn't want to know.

[Juliar]

Where COVID-19 is at in Australia. The big question is when will restrictions be eased ?


Australia's coronavirus death toll rises to 83 after two men die in hospital
By NIC WHITE FOR DAILY MAIL AUSTRALIA PUBLISHED: 11:43 AEST, 26 April 2020 | UPDATED: 12:17 AEST, 26 April 2020

Another person has fallen victim to the coronavirus outbreak in northwest Tasmania with the death of an elderly man.

The man aged in his 90s died at Mersey Community hospital in Latrobe, near Devonport, on Sunday.

He died a day after another elderly patient succumbed to coronavirus in the same hospital where many victims are being treated.

Another 90-year-old man died at a hospital in Victoria, taking Australia's death toll to 83.


Two more people have died, one in Victoria and one in northwest Tasmania, bringing the country's death toll to 83


Read on here:- https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/articl ... es-83.html

[Juliar]

Once the virus shutdown ends, won't everyone just end up infected anyway?

Possibly yes, but a great difference will be made by how a country ends the lockdown. Let's consider countries A and B. Both have similar populations and in their worst moments get up to 2000 new cases per day. After a couple of months on lockdown both get to 0 new cases and end the lockdown.

Country A goes back to “normal": no restrictions whatsoever. In a matter of a couple of months, the infections go back up to 2000 per day and the cycle repeats.

Country B goes off lockdown, but instead keeps a policy of social distancing active with less impacting measures. All businesses reopen, but anyone who can work remotely still does, schools remain closed, face masks are mandatory, people need to keep a distance, sports are played behind closed doors, and people are forbidden to congregate in large numbers. Everyone is invited to track their movements on apps, and widespread testing allows them to find the new cases. This allows them to keep new cases at no more than 50–60 per day, manageable by the healthcare system; if a minor outbreak occurs in a small area, it may have to go into a local lockdown, but that is also easily manageable.

The final outcome is that country A has a bucketload of deaths and a prolonged crisis, while country B manages the epidemic, keeps the death score low, and rapidly revitalizes its economy.


What would be the end outcome if we didn't try to stop the spread of the virus and just let it take its course?

Millions(if not billions) could die. Loss of herd immunity other diseases. Opportunistic infections. Possibly longer and more severe pandemic. Economic collapse, healthcare system collapse, monetary system collapse.

Possible famine and shortage of essential goods.

Mutation of the virus into an even more contagious/lethal strain that could reinfect survivors that developed immunity against the original strain of the virus.

Lifelong damage to the lungs and possibly other organs to survivors of covid-19. Possible transmission to dogs/cats and other animals in close proximity to humans.