Yes, the shift in weather patterns is undeniable, spring arrives 11 days earlier in Britain, migratory birds in the northern hemisphere settle more northerly every spring, etc. Here the north, like Qld is getting wetter while southern australia, esp in WA but also SA etc is getting drier.
This year a strong La Nina reinforced this in a major way. Without Wyvenho Dam Brisbane would have been much, much worse off. these things have been happening and there is no doubt about these trends and the reason for it: anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. the Greens having blocked the CPRS have fucked the renewable energy sector so now the only way we can reduce our emissions in a fairly short time is nuclear power, esp nuke power replacing brown coal power generation. so, Pt Augusta and Yallourn.
4th Gen nuclear is safe and produces little waste, good to see the ALP will likely change its no nuke power policy at this years federal conference.
I heard something today about the Nats demanding Wyvenhoe water be used for irrigation, but for that Wyvenhoe would have been empty and less floodwater would have gone down the Brisbane River.
I asked the BoM about this:
1973/1974 was a very strong La Nina so the current floods and those in 1974 have many similarities. While it remains too early to be certain the two floods look to be comparable - this time the massive Wivenhoe dam has played a major role in mitigating flood peaks so the lower peaks being record are more a result of engineering than "rainfall".
You are correct in observing that northern Australia has been getting wetter and southern Australia drying. The drying in the south is most evident in the southwest of Western Australia, but is also evident in parts of southern SA and Victoria. This pattern of rainfall change is generally consistent with global warming - as the planet warms the tropical regions tend to get wetter while the subtropical regions tend to get drier.
The cold in Europe etc has been a bit overblown in the media. The last winter (2009/10) was the warmest on record for the northern hemisphere and event the recent December 2010 was much warmer than average. What the media fail to report is that while Europe has been cold, other areas have been abnormally hot. Most recently we have been witnessing very "high" temperatures in Canada and the Arctic which have been more extensive and more exceptional than the cooler temperatures over Europe.
Regards,
David
Manager Climate Monitoring and Prediction