Private housing finance increases

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Leftofcentresalterego

Private housing finance increases

Post by Leftofcentresalterego » Sun Feb 15, 2009 8:23 am

encouraging an overcommintment by those who if they suddenly become unemployed, can no longer afford their mortgage repayments
That's a fair point Mantra. But I think that in the context of today's situation, it is part of the overall strategy along with the stimulus package to try and minimise the occurence of that sort of thing.

There are quite a few businesses and jobs tied up the housing industry. A rapid contraction would see many go to the wall and large numbers of workers end up on the dole.

Banks lending criteria have become much tighter - they are demanding bigger and bigger up front deposits and I think it's likley that even with the FHOG we will see the number of home loans slide as the year progresses. My mother works for a conveyancing firm and she is witnessing a record number of deals fall over as interested buyers keep signing up - only to find that the bank says no to the finance.

House prices of course need to come down, they are far too expensive but they need to come down in a steady, orderly fashion. If they simply collapse they result will be more business bunkruptcies and more jobs lost.

Rudd may be doing the same thing as Howard re FHOG but the situation is completely different. Howard was grossly irresponsable by throwing money at home buyers during a boom - he must have known that this could only serve to fuel demand and push up prices even further. It was pork. Rudd by contrast is doing the same thing but at a far more appropriate time - at the onset of a slump. If house prices contract too rapidly the industry will collapse.

The difference is all in the timing.

Jovial Monk

Re: Private housing finance increases

Post by Jovial Monk » Sun Feb 15, 2009 1:28 pm

Absolutely, an orderly retreat on house prices not a retreat! The same with the Ruddybank and an orderly retreat of commercial/industrial property prices.

And most people keep their job even in a severe recession!

Leftofcentresalterego

Re: Private housing finance increases

Post by Leftofcentresalterego » Sun Feb 15, 2009 5:30 pm

Thanks for posting my post across to the main forum mantra! :)
I know two young couples recently who have borrowed massive sums for their first home with only a 5% deposit
It was only last year that no deposit home loans were the rage. It may still be possible to get them but as of November last year, the Commonwealth bank announced that it would no longer offer such loans.

I can assure you that at least in this neck of the woods, lending standards have grown much tighter. My mother is near retiring age and will likely go if things do not pick up in order to preserve the younger clerks jobs. She can afford to retire. Many conveyancers have cut hours or shed jobs.

I see much anecdotal evidence of a slowing or slumping housing market - including my grandfathers house. They keep dropping the price but to no avail. It looked like it was sold last week to a young couple, but it fell through - the bank said no to them.

Kevin Rudd

Re: Private housing finance increases

Post by Kevin Rudd » Sun Feb 15, 2009 5:43 pm

I have destroyed all business confidence

Julia Gillard

Re: Private housing finance increases

Post by Julia Gillard » Sun Feb 15, 2009 7:48 pm

I helped. One look at my credentials and we had to get a deeper white board as the confidence fell off the bottom of the Howard government one.

Jovial Monk

Re: Private housing finance increases

Post by Jovial Monk » Sun Feb 15, 2009 8:19 pm

Good old Julia! Everyday in Parlt she calmly, masterfully and in a measured way rips a few Lieberals a new one :)

Goulia

Re: Private housing finance increases

Post by Goulia » Sun Feb 15, 2009 8:31 pm

You mean Alice in Funderland?

Still waiting for a multitude of undelivered promises related to the education portfolio to eventuate- but a simpleton like yourself has never bothered to look at that side of things while you are busy pulling your tiny dick over pictures of Kduddy

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