Gee warmer and dryer conditions in Australia the most arid, populated continent, on the planet... a country of drought and flooding rains...El Nino unlikely this year, but hot and dry conditions expected
ABC Rural By Catherine McAloon
Wed 22 Oct 2014, 2:29pm
Weather models are now showing an El Nino is unlikely to develop this year.
Of the models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology, three of eight are suggesting El Nino thresholds could be reached by January, while another two remain just shy of the thresholds for an event.
The bureau's manager of climate prediction services, Andrew Watkins, says even though the models have backed away from an El Nino this year, El Nino-like conditions are still expected.
"About half the models from around the world are currently indicating that we are still likely to have an El Nino event. Whether we have one or not, what we are saying to people is we have some conditions out there that will typically bring warmer and drier conditions to large parts of Australia.
"Even though the odds are about 50 per cent, we still expect to see some impacts."
He says temperatures in the Tropical Pacific Ocean have remained warmer than average for more than six months, but have not reached El Nino levels.
"And we do have some cooler waters to the north of Australia, and that combination alone, even if it's not an El Nino, typically brings warmer than normal conditions to Australia, and unfortunately drier than normal conditions to eastern Australia," Dr Watkins said.
The outlook for the rest of the year is for hotter and drier conditions in many parts of the country.
"The current conditions we're seeing, both in the Tropical Pacific Ocean and around Australia's coasts are pushing us towards generally drier, generally warmer summer ahead, increased risk of heatwaves, some increased risk of bushfires, particularly in the south-east, and parts of the west, but a reduced risk of tropical cyclones and a reduced risk of flooding, or widespread flooding, which is always good to see during the wet season," Dr Watkins said.
Global Warming
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- Rorschach
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Re: Global Warming
For Monk who seems to not know the difference between weather and climate and loves making predictions which just turn out to be baseless propaganda.
DOLT - A person who is stupid and entirely tedious at the same time, like bwian. Oblivious to their own mental incapacity. On IGNORE - Warrior, mellie, Nom De Plume, FLEKTARD
- Super Nova
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Re: Global Warming
Pure Water may be pure water by "Water is water" is just bullshit.IQS.RLOW wrote:Water is water, sunshine- keep on denying the science so your faith is never challenged.
I feel sorry for you. I cant imagine having to live life being scared of the non-existent boogeyman in the closet.
What scares me is people with your attitude being in power making the wrong decisions for the planet.
Water aren't water Sol, Castrol GTX aren't just a water.
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- Rorschach
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Re: Global Warming
Oh dear... got nothing SN?
Some of your statements do make IQS appear right re your attitude.
Some of your statements do make IQS appear right re your attitude.
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Re: Global Warming
I'm sorry roach. You guys don't provide anything to make me change my mind.Rorschach wrote:Oh dear... got nothing SN?
Some of your statements do make IQS appear right re your attitude.
this last one is just BS and the extrapolation of a fresh water lake to the worlds oceans is crap.
It is an example of the BS you denailists will swallow to keep your head firmly in the sand.
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- IQS.RLOW
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Re: Global Warming
SN is a global warming fruitcake scaredy cat soft cock proselytizing nutbag.
Seriously, you need to get a large dose of reality and stop ignoring the science.
I bet you are still denying the pause for 18 years because it doesnt fit with your faith, you fucking nutbag.
Seriously, you need to get a large dose of reality and stop ignoring the science.
I bet you are still denying the pause for 18 years because it doesnt fit with your faith, you fucking nutbag.
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- IQS.RLOW
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Re: Global Warming
Nothing will change the mind of a denier like yourself.Super Nova wrote:I'm sorry roach. You guys don't provide anything to make me change my mind.Rorschach wrote:Oh dear... got nothing SN?
Some of your statements do make IQS appear right re your attitude.
this last one is just BS and the extrapolation of a fresh water lake to the worlds oceans is crap.
It is an example of the BS you denailists will swallow to keep your head firmly in the sand.
All the science in the world cant shift your faith.
Quote by Aussie: I was a long term dead beat, wife abusing, drunk, black Muslim, on the dole for decades prison escapee having been convicted of paedophilia
- IQS.RLOW
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Re: Global Warming
No warming for 18 years.
CO2 still being pumped out.
Heat not hiding in the ocean.
No need to do anything just so you can satisfy your faith.
If you want to satisfy your faith, you can pay double for your electricity and make it less reliable.
How dare you tell me thats what I have to accept because your faith tells you that.
Youre a fucking fascist.
CO2 still being pumped out.
Heat not hiding in the ocean.
No need to do anything just so you can satisfy your faith.
If you want to satisfy your faith, you can pay double for your electricity and make it less reliable.
How dare you tell me thats what I have to accept because your faith tells you that.
Youre a fucking fascist.
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Re: Global Warming
Feel free to disprove anything I've ever posted...Super Nova wrote:I'm sorry roach. You guys don't provide anything to make me change my mind.Rorschach wrote:Oh dear... got nothing SN?
Some of your statements do make IQS appear right re your attitude.
this last one is just BS and the extrapolation of a fresh water lake to the worlds oceans is crap.
It is an example of the BS you denailists will swallow to keep your head firmly in the sand.
You keep calling me a denialist... what have I denied?
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Re: Global Warming
SN is the only denier here.
Denies no warming for 18 years
Denies there is no evidence for MMGW
Denies that the heat hasn't gone into the oceans
Denies that he is in denial.
Denies no warming for 18 years
Denies there is no evidence for MMGW
Denies that the heat hasn't gone into the oceans
Denies that he is in denial.
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- Super Nova
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Re: Global Warming
Scientists continue to warn us about global warming, but most of us have a vested interest in not wanting to think about itIQS.RLOW wrote:SN is the only denier here.
Denies no warming for 18 years
Denies there is no evidence for MMGW
Denies that the heat hasn't gone into the oceans
Denies that he is in denial.
Clive Hamilton, the Australian author of Requiem for a Species, made the essential point a few years ago that climate change denial was no longer just a corporate lobbying campaign. The opponents of science would say what they said unbribed. The movement was in the grip of "cognitive dissonance", a condition first defined by Leon Festinger and his colleagues in the 1950s . They examined a cult that had attached itself to a Chicago housewife called Dorothy Martin. She convinced her followers to resign from their jobs and sell their possessions because a great flood was to engulf the earth on 21 December 1954. They would be the only survivors. Aliens in a flying saucer would swoop down and save the chosen few.
When 21 December came and went, and the Earth carried on as before, the group did not despair. Martin announced that the aliens had sent her a message saying that they had decided at the last minute not to flood the planet after all. Her followers believed her. They had given up so much for their faith that they would believe anything rather than admit their sacrifices had been pointless.
Climate change deniers are as committed. Their denial fits perfectly with their support for free market economics, opposition to state intervention and hatred of all those latte-slurping, quinoa-munching liberals, with their arrogant manners and dainty hybrid cars, who presume to tell honest men and women how to live. If they admitted they were wrong on climate change, they might have to admit that they were wrong on everything else and their whole political identity would unravel.
Extract from
The climate change deniers have won
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfre ... al-warming
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