Tone is dicing with potential unintended consequences here....
The Australian has reported today that the incoming Coalition Government is attempting to delay the unwinding of the mining capex boom by forcing miners to spend on new projects, or risk losing their mining rights:
RESOURCE giants will be told to step up their spending on mammoth new projects or risk losing their rights to tap the deposits, under an Abbott government plan to accelerate investment and kill off fears of an end to the boom.
The incoming government aims to use its power over the vast gas deposits to bring forward up to $180 billion in new investment, sending a blunt message to companies to develop rather than hoard the nation’s resources…
Mr Macfarlane warned that companies that shelved their projects could lose the “retention leases” they held over the reserves, given the commonwealth’s power to revoke the rights as they came up for renewal over the next few years.
“I want to put the industry on notice that if the deposits are able to be developed they’ve got to be developed,” he said yesterday as he arrived in Canberra for briefings.”We’ve got to make sure that every molecule of gas that can come out of the ground does so. Provided we’ve got the environmental approvals right, we should develop everything we can.”
So after screeching from the rafters about the RSPT supposedly driving mining investment offshore, Tone suddenly seems to have forgotten that he is supposedly the head of "the business-friendly party" and suddenly seems a bit more like Whitlam, declaring "use it or lose it". I have no problem with making sure foreign mining companies don't just hoard our resources but......
The Coalition’s policy could have some serious unintended consequences. Sure, while it may lead to increased mining investment and delay the mining investment cliff for a few more years, it also risks:
1.encouraging the development of marginal projects that would otherwise not get approval, leaving unproductive “white elephants”;
2.substantially increasing the supply of resources exports, thereby lowering prices; and
3.depleting Australia’s fixed endowment of resources more quickly than desirable from an inter-generational perspective.
If the market dynamics were such that new investment was viable, the chances are such projects would be developed.
Note the last line - if such projects were considered viable they would probably be under development right now. Tone may have just made a monumental fuck up.
http://www.macrobusiness.com.au/2013/09 ... nvestment/
If anybody thought the simian would lead a Liberal govt—hang your head in shame, idiots! Nothing about the simian’s govt is Liberal—it is a DLP govt! It does not like markets! Direct action, PPL, Fraudband now this idiocy are not market–driven solutions! The Carbon Price was.